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RE: [xml-dev] Beyond Ontologies
To: "'bryan'" <bry@------.--->,"'Roger L. Costello'" <costello@-----.--->
Date: 9/30/2003 12:26:00 PM
Hi Bryan, Brian said: The usage of Beta vs. VHS as an example of this would be proper in what should be seen as an insignificant change had widely divergent results in the success of the formats. If for example Bob Jones investing in VHS equipment three days later results in a totally new format being the winner. Although I understand that Economics has examples with which the butterfly effect is analogous, I doubt that Beta vs VHS could be a good one of these. Didier replies: Usually, the butterfly effect is associated to chaotic systems having one or several attractor. I do not know if the VHS/Beta problem maps to a chaotic systems dynamics but for sure I know that it maps very well to a percolation dynamics. The book "tipping point" explains in simple words what a percolation phenomenon is from the social perspective (but not from the mathematical point of view). Since web phenomenons are not easily (as far as my knowledge goes) modeled by state spaces, they are more easily modeled with network and percolation theory. Cheers Didier PH Martin
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